Predge · Smart-Money Signals

Accepts

The payment requirements as published to the catalog. Read the live 402 before paying — a price here is a claim, not a quote.

[
  {
    "asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
    "extra": {
      "name": "USD Coin",
      "version": "2"
    },
    "payTo": "0x9084f5000e07c7133d6da5ee4f271ab6d1821144",
    "amount": "30000",
    "scheme": "exact",
    "network": "eip155:8453",
    "mimeType": "application/json",
    "resource": "https://x402-api-production-266e.up.railway.app/v1/signals/consensus",
    "description": "PREMIUM smart-money consensus. \"Smart money\" is EDGE-based, not the opaque scorer: a wallet qualifies when its luck-damped realized edge over the last 30d is positive — edge_lower_bound = Wilson-95%-lower-bound(live win rate) − avg entry price > 0, from RESOLVED outcomes (same machinery as the wallets leaderboard), with skin-in-the-game floors (>= 10 trades, >= $1,000 volume). For every active Polymarket market with whale trades (>= $10,000) in the last 24h from those wallets: YES/NO volume split, net flow (USD), distinct smart-wallet count, and a direction verdict — \"yes\"/\"no\" when one side holds >= 55% of smart volume (>=10% imbalance), else \"split\". Sorted by smart volume, top-50. Honest degradation via {\"insufficient_data\": true, \"reason\": ...} while no wallet has a positive edge yet. 15 min delay.",
    "maxAmountRequired": "30000",
    "maxTimeoutSeconds": 60
  },
  {
    "asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
    "extra": {},
    "payTo": "9dxMRRtC7RKZH5rFZpUywjmnQ87H9qHhtW43u5LYmpV",
    "amount": "30000",
    "scheme": "exact",
    "network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
    "mimeType": "application/json",
    "resource": "https://x402-api-production-266e.up.railway.app/v1/signals/consensus",
    "description": "PREMIUM smart-money consensus. \"Smart money\" is EDGE-based, not the opaque scorer: a wallet qualifies when its luck-damped realized edge over the last 30d is positive — edge_lower_bound = Wilson-95%-lower-bound(live win rate) − avg entry price > 0, from RESOLVED outcomes (same machinery as the wallets leaderboard), with skin-in-the-game floors (>= 10 trades, >= $1,000 volume). For every active Polymarket market with whale trades (>= $10,000) in the last 24h from those wallets: YES/NO volume split, net flow (USD), distinct smart-wallet count, and a direction verdict — \"yes\"/\"no\" when one side holds >= 55% of smart volume (>=10% imbalance), else \"split\". Sorted by smart volume, top-50. Honest degradation via {\"insufficient_data\": true, \"reason\": ...} while no wallet has a positive edge yet. 15 min delay.",
    "maxAmountRequired": "30000",
    "maxTimeoutSeconds": 60
  }
]

Extensions

{
  "bazaar": {
    "info": {
      "input": {
        "type": "http",
        "queryParams": {}
      },
      "output": {
        "type": "json",
        "example": {
          "markets": [
            {
              "title": "Will the Fed cut rates in September?",
              "category": "economics",
              "platform": "polymarket",
              "direction": "yes",
              "condition_id": "0x178a746e2b342c25b1d78d0f0d0ea77157c9b6d40b2e97ffbf827cd7f9994c39",
              "net_flow_usd": 143000,
              "smart_no_usd": 41000,
              "smart_wallets": 6,
              "smart_yes_usd": 184000,
              "market_yes_price": 0.62
            }
          ],
          "smart_money": {
            "basis": "edge_lower_bound",
            "definition": "smart money = a wallet whose luck-damped realized edge over the trailing window is positive (Wilson-95%-lower-bound(win rate) − avg entry price > min_edge_lower_bound), from RESOLVED outcomes — not the opaque scorer score",
            "min_trades": 10,
            "min_volume_usd": 1000,
            "edge_window_days": 30,
            "qualifying_wallets": 474,
            "min_edge_lower_bound": 0
          },
          "window_hours": 24,
          "insufficient_data": false
        }
      }
    },
    "schema": {
      "type": "object",
      "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
      "required": [
        "input"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "input": {
          "type": "object",
          "required": [
            "type",
            "method"
          ],
          "properties": {
            "type": {
              "type": "string",
              "const": "http"
            },
            "method": {
              "enum": [
                "GET",
                "HEAD",
                "DELETE"
              ],
              "type": "string"
            },
            "queryParams": {
              "type": "object",
              "properties": {}
            }
          },
          "additionalProperties": false
        },
        "output": {
          "type": "object",
          "required": [
            "type"
          ],
          "properties": {
            "type": {
              "type": "string"
            },
            "example": {
              "type": "object"
            }
          }
        }
      }
    }
  }
}

Provenance

Seen in the source catalog

—

Last indexed by Roundhouse

2026-09-21 22:15Z

Last enriched (probe, favicon, geo)

2026-09-21 22:45Z

x402 version

2

Max timeout

60s

Liveness probe

HTTP 200