x402-factory
Biggest US politics probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in US politics: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to US politics markets.
DataLiveeip155:8453Exactvia cdp
MoversPolitics-usProbabilityAlerts
Calls · 30d
1↓ 13%
This endpoint's own trailing-30-day call count, as published by the upstream catalog and snapshotted daily. 30 snapshots so far.
$21.63
Verified settled volume
942 settlements proven x402 by their on-chain EIP-3009 marker.
$0.020
Listed price
As published in the catalog. Always read the live 402 before paying.
1
Calls · 30d
Upstream's own call count for this endpoint, not ours.
1
Unique payers · 30d
Last called 2026-09-01 13:22Z
—
Upstream on-chain volume
Reported by the source catalog.
Paid to
0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305fThe wallet the 402 directs payment to. Its whole payment record — every payer, every chain — is on the merchant page.
Asset 0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913
Provider
The payTo wallet does not resolve to a registered ERC-8004 agent. That is not a verdict on the service — most of the catalog is unregistered.
Live 402 challenge
Captured by the enrichment pass, not read just now. Prices can change — always read the 402 the endpoint answers with.
{
"error": "Payment required",
"accepts": [
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305f",
"amount": "20000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 120
}
],
"resource": {
"url": "https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/politics-us",
"tags": [
"movers",
"politics-us",
"probability",
"alerts"
],
"mimeType": "application/json",
"description": "Biggest US politics probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in US politics: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to US politics markets.",
"serviceName": "x402-factory"
},
"extensions": {
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"limit": 10,
"window": "24h"
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"movers": [
{
"slug": "republicans-hold-house-midterms-2026-11",
"delta": 0.022,
"p_now": 0.5834,
"p_prev": 0.5614,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will Republicans hold the House in the 2026 midterms?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.97
},
{
"slug": "venezuela-opposition-wins-election-2026-12",
"delta": -0.0176,
"p_now": 0.4304,
"p_prev": 0.448,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the opposition candidate win Venezuela's December election?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.97
},
{
"slug": "government-shutdown-october-2026",
"delta": 0.0106,
"p_now": 0.2571,
"p_prev": 0.2465,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will there be a US government shutdown at the October 2026 funding deadline?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.99
},
{
"slug": "nyc-mayor-incumbent-wins-2026-11",
"delta": -0.0048,
"p_now": 0.6494,
"p_prev": 0.6542,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the incumbent win the NYC mayoral election?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 1.05
},
{
"slug": "democrats-win-senate-midterms-2026-11",
"delta": -0.0008,
"p_now": 0.2978,
"p_prev": 0.2986,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will Democrats win Senate control in the 2026 midterms?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 1.02
},
{
"slug": "republican-wins-presidency-2028",
"delta": -0.0004,
"p_now": 0.5049,
"p_prev": 0.5054,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 US presidential election?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 1.03
},
{
"slug": "us-government-shutdown-2026-10",
"delta": 0,
"p_now": 0.2712,
"p_prev": 0.2711,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the US government shut down on October 1?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.98
}
]
},
"meta": {
"docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.movers.politics-us",
"sources": [
"kalshi",
"polymarket"
],
"version": "1.0.0",
"endpoint": "/v1/movers/politics-us",
"data_mode": "live",
"freshness": "realtime",
"request_id": "req_00000000",
"generated_at": "2026-09-09T23:10:42.673Z"
}
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input"
],
"properties": {
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"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"required": [],
"properties": {
"limit": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 20,
"maximum": 50,
"minimum": 1
},
"window": {
"enum": [
"1h",
"6h",
"24h"
],
"type": "string",
"default": "24h"
},
"category": {
"enum": [
"politics",
"economics",
"weather",
"crypto",
"sports",
"science-tech",
"entertainment"
],
"type": "string"
},
"min_liquidity": {
"type": "number",
"maximum": 1,
"minimum": 0,
"description": "Minimum liquidity_score (0–1)"
}
}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"data",
"meta"
],
"properties": {
"data": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"movers"
],
"properties": {
"movers": {
"type": "array",
"items": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"slug",
"question",
"p_now",
"p_prev",
"delta",
"volume_surge_ratio",
"category"
],
"properties": {
"slug": {
"type": "string"
},
"delta": {
"type": "number"
},
"p_now": {
"type": "number",
"maximum": 1,
"minimum": 0
},
"p_prev": {
"type": "number",
"maximum": 1,
"minimum": 0
},
"category": {
"type": "string"
},
"question": {
"type": "string"
},
"volume_surge_ratio": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"meta": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
}
}
}
}
},
"x402Version": 2
}Accepts
The payment requirements as published to the catalog. Read the live 402 before paying — a price here is a claim, not a quote.
0.02USDC≈ $0.02 USD
on Base · exact scheme
Pay 0.02 USDC on Base to 0xCc42…b305f. The signed payment is good for 2 minutes.
- Paid to
- 0xCc42…b305f
- USD Coin contract
- 0x8335…02913
- Payment window
- 2 minutes
- As published
- 20000 smallest units
The catalog’s raw entry
[
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305f",
"amount": "20000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 120
}
]Extensions
{
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"limit": 10,
"window": "24h"
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"movers": [
{
"slug": "republicans-hold-house-midterms-2026-11",
"delta": 0.022,
"p_now": 0.5834,
"p_prev": 0.5614,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will Republicans hold the House in the 2026 midterms?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.97
},
{
"slug": "venezuela-opposition-wins-election-2026-12",
"delta": -0.0176,
"p_now": 0.4304,
"p_prev": 0.448,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the opposition candidate win Venezuela's December election?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.97
},
{
"slug": "government-shutdown-october-2026",
"delta": 0.0106,
"p_now": 0.2571,
"p_prev": 0.2465,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will there be a US government shutdown at the October 2026 funding deadline?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.99
},
{
"slug": "nyc-mayor-incumbent-wins-2026-11",
"delta": -0.0048,
"p_now": 0.6494,
"p_prev": 0.6542,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the incumbent win the NYC mayoral election?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 1.05
},
{
"slug": "democrats-win-senate-midterms-2026-11",
"delta": -0.0008,
"p_now": 0.2978,
"p_prev": 0.2986,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will Democrats win Senate control in the 2026 midterms?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 1.02
},
{
"slug": "republican-wins-presidency-2028",
"delta": -0.0004,
"p_now": 0.5049,
"p_prev": 0.5054,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 US presidential election?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 1.03
},
{
"slug": "us-government-shutdown-2026-10",
"delta": 0,
"p_now": 0.2712,
"p_prev": 0.2711,
"category": "politics",
"question": "Will the US government shut down on October 1?",
"volume_surge_ratio": 0.98
}
]
},
"meta": {
"docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.movers.politics-us",
"sources": [
"kalshi",
"polymarket"
],
"version": "1.0.0",
"endpoint": "/v1/movers/politics-us",
"data_mode": "live",
"freshness": "realtime",
"request_id": "req_00000000",
"generated_at": "2026-09-01T09:36:55.188Z"
}
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"required": [],
"properties": {
"limit": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 20,
"maximum": 50,
"minimum": 1
},
"window": {
"enum": [
"1h",
"6h",
"24h"
],
"type": "string",
"default": "24h"
},
"category": {
"enum": [
"politics",
"economics",
"weather",
"crypto",
"sports",
"science-tech",
"entertainment"
],
"type": "string"
},
"min_liquidity": {
"type": "number",
"maximum": 1,
"minimum": 0,
"description": "Minimum liquidity_score (0–1)"
}
}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"data",
"meta"
],
"properties": {
"data": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"movers"
],
"properties": {
"movers": {
"type": "array",
"items": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"slug",
"question",
"p_now",
"p_prev",
"delta",
"volume_surge_ratio",
"category"
],
"properties": {
"slug": {
"type": "string"
},
"delta": {
"type": "number"
},
"p_now": {
"type": "number",
"maximum": 1,
"minimum": 0
},
"p_prev": {
"type": "number",
"maximum": 1,
"minimum": 0
},
"category": {
"type": "string"
},
"question": {
"type": "string"
},
"volume_surge_ratio": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"meta": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
}
}
}
}
}Provenance
- Seen in the source catalog
- 2026-09-01 13:22Z
- Last indexed by Roundhouse
- 2026-09-24 07:30Z
- Last enriched (probe, favicon, geo)
- 2026-09-11 18:46Z
- x402 version
- 2
- Max timeout
- 120s
- Liveness probe
- HTTP 402
Hand this page to an agent
Copy the prompt and paste it into Claude, an MCP client or your own agent — it will vet this service and call it over the free read API. No key, no account.
GET api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints
This endpoint's own trailing-30-day call count, as published by the upstream catalog and snapshotted daily. 30 snapshots so far. Verified volume counts only settlements with an on-chain EIP-3009 marker.
Show the promptHide the prompt
Using Roundhouse, look up the x402 service x402-factory and tell me whether it is worth paying: what a call costs, whether the endpoint answered when last probed, and what its payment record actually shows. curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints?q=x402-factory' curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/merchants/<the payTo wallet returned above>' Then call it: read the price from the live 402 at https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/politics-us, never from a cached figure, and pay with an x402 client. The /v0 API needs an API key (`authorization: Bearer rh_live_…`) on everything except /v0/unified* and /v0/endpoints. Mint a personal key for $0.01 at GET https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/test/x402, or use an organization key from https://roundhouseai.io/dashboard/team. If you do not have Roundhouse tools or skills installed, read https://roundhouseai.io/skill.md first — it is the whole procedure.