x402-factory

Per-venue implied vs vig-adjusted odds with summarized depth for one market — Venue-by-venue comparison for a market: implied probability, vig-adjusted probability (overround removed via the quoted book), summarized depth near the touch, plus the cross-venue spread and a disagreement flag when it exceeds 5 points.

DataLiveeip155:8453Exactvia cdp
PredictionOddsArbitrage
Calls · 30d
1↓ 13%
This endpoint's own trailing-30-day call count, as published by the upstream catalog and snapshotted daily. 30 snapshots so far.
$21.66
Verified settled volume
943 settlements proven x402 by their on-chain EIP-3009 marker.
$0.020
Listed price
As published in the catalog. Always read the live 402 before paying.
1
Calls · 30d
Upstream's own call count for this endpoint, not ours.
1
Unique payers · 30d
Last called 2026-09-01 13:23Z
Upstream on-chain volume
Reported by the source catalog.
Paid to
0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305f

The wallet the 402 directs payment to. Its whole payment record — every payer, every chain — is on the merchant page.

Asset 0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913

Provider

The payTo wallet does not resolve to a registered ERC-8004 agent. That is not a verdict on the service — most of the catalog is unregistered.

Live 402 challenge

Captured by the enrichment pass, not read just now. Prices can change — always read the 402 the endpoint answers with.

{
  "error": "Payment required",
  "accepts": [
    {
      "asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
      "extra": {
        "name": "USD Coin",
        "version": "2"
      },
      "payTo": "0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305f",
      "amount": "20000",
      "scheme": "exact",
      "network": "eip155:8453",
      "maxTimeoutSeconds": 120
    }
  ],
  "resource": {
    "url": "https://x402-factory.com/v1/odds/compare/republicans-hold-house-midterms-2026-11",
    "tags": [
      "prediction",
      "odds",
      "arbitrage"
    ],
    "mimeType": "application/json",
    "description": "Per-venue implied vs vig-adjusted odds with summarized depth for one market — Venue-by-venue comparison for a market: implied probability, vig-adjusted probability (overround removed via the quoted book), summarized depth near the touch, plus the cross-venue spread and a disagreement flag when it exceeds 5 points.",
    "serviceName": "x402-factory"
  },
  "extensions": {
    "bazaar": {
      "info": {
        "input": {
          "type": "http",
          "method": "GET",
          "pathParams": {
            "slug": ":slug"
          },
          "queryParams": {}
        },
        "output": {
          "type": "json",
          "example": {
            "data": {
              "per_venue": [
                {
                  "venue": "kalshi",
                  "implied_p": 0.5965,
                  "vig_adjusted_p": 0.5985,
                  "depth_within_1c_usd": 23836.81,
                  "depth_within_5c_usd": 80347.82
                },
                {
                  "venue": "polymarket",
                  "implied_p": 0.5702,
                  "vig_adjusted_p": 0.5716,
                  "depth_within_1c_usd": 30913.64,
                  "depth_within_5c_usd": 123491.05
                }
              ],
              "venue_spread": 0.0263,
              "disagreement_flag": false
            },
            "meta": {
              "docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.odds-compare",
              "sources": [
                "kalshi",
                "polymarket"
              ],
              "version": "1.0.0",
              "endpoint": "/v1/odds/compare/{slug}",
              "data_mode": "live",
              "freshness": "realtime",
              "request_id": "req_00000000",
              "generated_at": "2026-09-13T09:52:16.377Z"
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "schema": {
        "type": "object",
        "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
        "required": [
          "input"
        ],
        "properties": {
          "input": {
            "type": "object",
            "required": [
              "type",
              "method"
            ],
            "properties": {
              "type": {
                "type": "string",
                "const": "http"
              },
              "method": {
                "enum": [
                  "GET"
                ],
                "type": "string"
              },
              "pathParams": {
                "type": "object",
                "required": [
                  "slug"
                ],
                "properties": {
                  "slug": {
                    "type": "string",
                    "pattern": "^[a-z0-9]+(?:-[a-z0-9]+)*$"
                  }
                }
              },
              "queryParams": {
                "type": "object",
                "properties": {}
              }
            },
            "additionalProperties": false
          },
          "output": {
            "type": "object",
            "required": [
              "type"
            ],
            "properties": {
              "type": {
                "type": "string"
              },
              "example": {
                "type": "object",
                "required": [
                  "data",
                  "meta"
                ],
                "properties": {
                  "data": {
                    "type": "object",
                    "required": [
                      "per_venue",
                      "venue_spread",
                      "disagreement_flag"
                    ],
                    "properties": {
                      "per_venue": {
                        "type": "array",
                        "items": {
                          "type": "object",
                          "required": [
                            "venue",
                            "implied_p",
                            "vig_adjusted_p",
                            "depth_within_1c_usd",
                            "depth_within_5c_usd"
                          ],
                          "properties": {
                            "venue": {
                              "enum": [
                                "kalshi",
                                "polymarket"
                              ],
                              "type": "string"
                            },
                            "implied_p": {
                              "type": "number",
                              "maximum": 1,
                              "minimum": 0
                            },
                            "vig_adjusted_p": {
                              "type": "number",
                              "maximum": 1,
                              "minimum": 0
                            },
                            "depth_within_1c_usd": {
                              "type": "number"
                            },
                            "depth_within_5c_usd": {
                              "type": "number"
                            }
                          },
                          "additionalProperties": false
                        }
                      },
                      "venue_spread": {
                        "type": "number",
                        "maximum": 1,
                        "minimum": 0
                      },
                      "disagreement_flag": {
                        "type": "boolean"
                      }
                    },
                    "additionalProperties": false
                  },
                  "meta": {
                    "type": "object"
                  }
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      },
      "routeTemplate": "/v1/odds/compare/:slug"
    }
  },
  "x402Version": 2
}

Accepts

The payment requirements as published to the catalog. Read the live 402 before paying — a price here is a claim, not a quote.

0.02USDC≈ $0.02 USD
on Base · exact scheme

Pay 0.02 USDC on Base to 0xCc42…b305f. The signed payment is good for 2 minutes.

USD Coin contract
0x8335…02913
Payment window
2 minutes
As published
20000 smallest units
The catalog’s raw entry
[
  {
    "asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
    "extra": {
      "name": "USD Coin",
      "version": "2"
    },
    "payTo": "0xCc42Ed39a06b6cF3f484307eF76B88Bf56Fb305f",
    "amount": "20000",
    "scheme": "exact",
    "network": "eip155:8453",
    "maxTimeoutSeconds": 120
  }
]

Extensions

{
  "bazaar": {
    "info": {
      "input": {
        "type": "http",
        "method": "GET",
        "pathParams": {
          "slug": "republicans-hold-house-midterms-2026-11"
        },
        "queryParams": {}
      },
      "output": {
        "type": "json",
        "example": {
          "data": {
            "per_venue": [
              {
                "venue": "kalshi",
                "implied_p": 0.5965,
                "vig_adjusted_p": 0.5985,
                "depth_within_1c_usd": 23836.81,
                "depth_within_5c_usd": 80347.82
              },
              {
                "venue": "polymarket",
                "implied_p": 0.5702,
                "vig_adjusted_p": 0.5716,
                "depth_within_1c_usd": 30913.64,
                "depth_within_5c_usd": 123491.05
              }
            ],
            "venue_spread": 0.0263,
            "disagreement_flag": false
          },
          "meta": {
            "docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.odds-compare",
            "sources": [
              "kalshi",
              "polymarket"
            ],
            "version": "1.0.0",
            "endpoint": "/v1/odds/compare/{slug}",
            "data_mode": "live",
            "freshness": "realtime",
            "request_id": "req_00000000",
            "generated_at": "2026-09-01T09:36:55.198Z"
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "schema": {
      "type": "object",
      "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
      "required": [
        "input"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "input": {
          "type": "object",
          "required": [
            "type",
            "method"
          ],
          "properties": {
            "type": {
              "type": "string",
              "const": "http"
            },
            "method": {
              "enum": [
                "GET"
              ],
              "type": "string"
            },
            "pathParams": {
              "type": "object",
              "required": [
                "slug"
              ],
              "properties": {
                "slug": {
                  "type": "string",
                  "pattern": "^[a-z0-9]+(?:-[a-z0-9]+)*$"
                }
              }
            },
            "queryParams": {
              "type": "object",
              "properties": {}
            }
          },
          "additionalProperties": false
        },
        "output": {
          "type": "object",
          "required": [
            "type"
          ],
          "properties": {
            "type": {
              "type": "string"
            },
            "example": {
              "type": "object",
              "required": [
                "data",
                "meta"
              ],
              "properties": {
                "data": {
                  "type": "object",
                  "required": [
                    "per_venue",
                    "venue_spread",
                    "disagreement_flag"
                  ],
                  "properties": {
                    "per_venue": {
                      "type": "array",
                      "items": {
                        "type": "object",
                        "required": [
                          "venue",
                          "implied_p",
                          "vig_adjusted_p",
                          "depth_within_1c_usd",
                          "depth_within_5c_usd"
                        ],
                        "properties": {
                          "venue": {
                            "enum": [
                              "kalshi",
                              "polymarket"
                            ],
                            "type": "string"
                          },
                          "implied_p": {
                            "type": "number",
                            "maximum": 1,
                            "minimum": 0
                          },
                          "vig_adjusted_p": {
                            "type": "number",
                            "maximum": 1,
                            "minimum": 0
                          },
                          "depth_within_1c_usd": {
                            "type": "number"
                          },
                          "depth_within_5c_usd": {
                            "type": "number"
                          }
                        },
                        "additionalProperties": false
                      }
                    },
                    "venue_spread": {
                      "type": "number",
                      "maximum": 1,
                      "minimum": 0
                    },
                    "disagreement_flag": {
                      "type": "boolean"
                    }
                  },
                  "additionalProperties": false
                },
                "meta": {
                  "type": "object"
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "routeTemplate": "/v1/odds/compare/:slug"
  }
}

Provenance

Seen in the source catalog
2026-09-01 13:23Z
Last indexed by Roundhouse
2026-09-24 13:40Z
Last enriched (probe, favicon, geo)
2026-09-23 17:15Z
x402 version
2
Max timeout
120s
Liveness probe
HTTP 402
Report

Hand this page to an agent

Copy the prompt and paste it into Claude, an MCP client or your own agent — it will vet this service and call it over the free read API. No key, no account.

GET api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints

This endpoint's own trailing-30-day call count, as published by the upstream catalog and snapshotted daily. 30 snapshots so far. Verified volume counts only settlements with an on-chain EIP-3009 marker.

Open skill.md
Show the prompt
Using Roundhouse, look up the x402 service x402-factory and tell me whether it is
worth paying: what a call costs, whether the endpoint answered when last probed, and what
its payment record actually shows.

curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints?q=x402-factory'
curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/merchants/<the payTo wallet returned above>'

Then call it: read the price from the live 402 at https://x402-factory.com/v1/odds/compare/:slug, never from
a cached figure, and pay with an x402 client.

The /v0 API needs an API key (`authorization: Bearer rh_live_…`) on everything except
/v0/unified* and /v0/endpoints. Mint a personal key for $0.01 at GET https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/test/x402,
or use an organization key from https://roundhouseai.io/dashboard/team.

If you do not have Roundhouse tools or skills installed, read
https://roundhouseai.io/skill.md first — it is the whole procedure.