AlphaPipeline Neg-Risk Arbitrage

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SearchLiveeip155:8453Exactvia cdp
Prediction-marketPolymarketArbitrage
Calls · 30d
1→ 0%
This endpoint's own trailing-30-day call count, as published by the upstream catalog and snapshotted daily. 32 snapshots so far.
$2.19
Verified settled volume
128 settlements proven x402 by their on-chain EIP-3009 marker.
$0.030
Listed price
As published in the catalog. Always read the live 402 before paying.
1
Calls · 30d
Upstream's own call count for this endpoint, not ours.
1
Unique payers · 30d
Last called 2026-10-01 14:31Z
—
Upstream on-chain volume
Reported by the source catalog.
Paid to
0x2bcfA4F7E1fA5E96934846A7dEa623398Ed7f752

The wallet the 402 directs payment to. Its whole payment record — every payer, every chain — is on the merchant page.

Asset 0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913

Provider

The payTo wallet does not resolve to a registered ERC-8004 agent. That is not a verdict on the service — most of the catalog is unregistered.

Accepts

The payment requirements as published to the catalog. Read the live 402 before paying — a price here is a claim, not a quote.

0.03USDC≈ $0.03 USD
on Base · exact scheme

Pay 0.03 USDC on Base to 0x2bcf…7f752. The signed payment is good for 5 minutes.

USD Coin contract
0x8335…02913
Payment window
5 minutes
As published
30000 smallest units
The catalog’s raw entry
[
  {
    "asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
    "extra": {
      "name": "USD Coin",
      "version": "2"
    },
    "payTo": "0x2bcfA4F7E1fA5E96934846A7dEa623398Ed7f752",
    "amount": "30000",
    "scheme": "exact",
    "network": "eip155:8453",
    "maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
  }
]

Extensions

{
  "bazaar": {
    "info": {
      "input": {
        "type": "http",
        "method": "GET",
        "queryParams": {
          "event_slug": "presidential-election-winner-2028"
        }
      },
      "output": {
        "type": "json",
        "example": {
          "notice": "*_capacity_shares is how many full baskets (1 share of every outcome) you could execute right now within max_slippage_pct of each leg's best price - arbitrage_viable=false with a positive edge usually means the edge is real but too thin to size meaningfully. *_capacity_notional_usd prices that capacity at each leg's top-of-book price, which is optimistic for any size beyond the first price level - *_capacity_vwap_notional_usd instead prices it by walking the same depth used to compute capacity_shares, so it reflects the actual average cost of filling that size (null if depth data was insufficient). oldest_book_snapshot_time is the staleness bottleneck across all legs. Cross-check the specific leg you intend to trade with prediction.exit_capacity_audit before sizing a real position.",
          "event_slug": "presidential-election-winner-2028",
          "data_source": "polymarket-gamma+clob",
          "opportunity": "buy_basket",
          "generated_at": {
            "kst": "2026-09-08 21:00:00 KST",
            "utc": "2026-09-08T12:00:00Z"
          },
          "num_outcomes": 5,
          "basket_ask_sum": 0.94,
          "basket_bid_sum": 0.88,
          "arbitrage_viable": true,
          "buy_basket_net_edge_usd": 0.045,
          "sell_basket_net_edge_usd": -0.135,
          "buy_basket_gross_edge_usd": 0.06,
          "oldest_book_snapshot_time": {
            "kst": "2026-09-08 20:59:58 KST",
            "utc": "2026-09-08T11:59:58Z"
          },
          "buy_basket_capacity_shares": 42,
          "sell_basket_gross_edge_usd": -0.12,
          "assumed_round_trip_cost_pct": 1.5,
          "sell_basket_capacity_shares": 0,
          "buy_basket_capacity_notional_usd": 39.48,
          "sell_basket_capacity_notional_usd": 0,
          "buy_basket_capacity_vwap_notional_usd": 39.71,
          "sell_basket_capacity_vwap_notional_usd": null
        }
      }
    },
    "schema": {
      "type": "object",
      "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
      "required": [
        "input"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "input": {
          "type": "object",
          "required": [
            "type",
            "method"
          ],
          "properties": {
            "type": {
              "type": "string",
              "const": "http"
            },
            "method": {
              "enum": [
                "GET",
                "HEAD",
                "DELETE"
              ],
              "type": "string"
            },
            "queryParams": {
              "type": "object",
              "required": [
                "event_slug"
              ],
              "properties": {
                "event_slug": {
                  "type": "string",
                  "description": "Polymarket event slug, from the event's URL on polymarket.com."
                },
                "max_slippage_pct": {
                  "type": "number",
                  "description": "How far past each leg's best price to walk the book when sizing executable basket capacity. Defaults to 1.0."
                },
                "min_net_edge_pct": {
                  "type": "number",
                  "description": "Minimum net edge (% of $1 basket notional) required to flag arbitrage_viable: true. Defaults to 1.0."
                },
                "assumed_round_trip_cost_pct": {
                  "type": "number",
                  "description": "Estimated all-in cost (Polygon gas for the neg-risk adapter's convert call, taker fees, slippage buffer) as a percentage of $1 basket notional. Defaults to 1.5."
                }
              }
            }
          },
          "additionalProperties": false
        },
        "output": {
          "type": "object",
          "required": [
            "type"
          ],
          "properties": {
            "type": {
              "type": "string"
            },
            "example": {
              "type": "object",
              "title": "PredictionNegRiskArbitrageResponse",
              "required": [
                "generated_at",
                "event_slug",
                "num_outcomes",
                "assumed_round_trip_cost_pct",
                "buy_basket_capacity_shares",
                "sell_basket_capacity_shares",
                "opportunity",
                "arbitrage_viable",
                "data_source"
              ],
              "properties": {
                "notice": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "string"
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "title": "Notice",
                  "default": null
                },
                "event_slug": {
                  "type": "string",
                  "title": "Event Slug"
                },
                "data_source": {
                  "type": "string",
                  "title": "Data Source"
                },
                "opportunity": {
                  "type": "string",
                  "title": "Opportunity"
                },
                "generated_at": {
                  "type": "object",
                  "title": "TimestampPair",
                  "required": [
                    "utc",
                    "kst"
                  ],
                  "properties": {
                    "kst": {
                      "type": "string",
                      "title": "Kst"
                    },
                    "utc": {
                      "type": "string",
                      "title": "Utc"
                    }
                  }
                },
                "num_outcomes": {
                  "type": "integer",
                  "title": "Num Outcomes"
                },
                "basket_ask_sum": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "title": "Basket Ask Sum",
                  "default": null
                },
                "basket_bid_sum": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "title": "Basket Bid Sum",
                  "default": null
                },
                "arbitrage_viable": {
                  "type": "boolean",
                  "title": "Arbitrage Viable"
                },
                "buy_basket_net_edge_usd": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "title": "Buy Basket Net Edge Usd",
                  "default": null
                },
                "sell_basket_net_edge_usd": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "title": "Sell Basket Net Edge Usd",
                  "default": null
                },
                "buy_basket_gross_edge_usd": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "title": "Buy Basket Gross Edge Usd",
                  "default": null
                },
                "oldest_book_snapshot_time": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "object",
                      "title": "TimestampPair",
                      "required": [
                        "utc",
                        "kst"
                      ],
                      "properties": {
                        "kst": {
                          "type": "string",
                          "title": "Kst"
                        },
                        "utc": {
                          "type": "string",
                          "title": "Utc"
                        }
                      }
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "default": null,
                  "description": "The oldest of each leg's own order-book snapshot timestamp - the staleness bottleneck across all legs, since the whole basket calculation is only as fresh as its stalest leg. Null if no leg reported a timestamp."
                },
                "buy_basket_capacity_shares": {
                  "type": "number",
                  "title": "Buy Basket Capacity Shares"
                },
                "sell_basket_gross_edge_usd": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "title": "Sell Basket Gross Edge Usd",
                  "default": null
                },
                "assumed_round_trip_cost_pct": {
                  "type": "number",
                  "title": "Assumed Round Trip Cost Pct"
                },
                "sell_basket_capacity_shares": {
                  "type": "number",
                  "title": "Sell Basket Capacity Shares"
                },
                "buy_basket_capacity_notional_usd": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "title": "Buy Basket Capacity Notional Usd",
                  "default": null
                },
                "sell_basket_capacity_notional_usd": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "title": "Sell Basket Capacity Notional Usd",
                  "default": null
                },
                "buy_basket_capacity_vwap_notional_usd": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "title": "Buy Basket Capacity Vwap Notional Usd",
                  "default": null,
                  "description": "Same capacity as buy_basket_capacity_shares, but priced by walking the actual order-book depth (volume-weighted) instead of using each leg's top-of-book price - a more realistic fill cost than buy_basket_capacity_notional_usd. Null if depth data was insufficient."
                },
                "sell_basket_capacity_vwap_notional_usd": {
                  "anyOf": [
                    {
                      "type": "number"
                    },
                    {
                      "type": "null"
                    }
                  ],
                  "title": "Sell Basket Capacity Vwap Notional Usd",
                  "default": null,
                  "description": "VWAP-priced equivalent of sell_basket_capacity_notional_usd - see buy_basket_capacity_vwap_notional_usd."
                }
              }
            }
          }
        }
      }
    }
  }
}

Provenance

Seen in the source catalog
2026-10-01 14:31Z
Last indexed by Roundhouse
2026-10-26 15:00Z
Last enriched (probe, favicon, geo)
2026-10-01 18:45Z
x402 version
2
Max timeout
300s
Liveness probe
HTTP 402
Report

Hand this page to an agent

Copy the prompt and paste it into Claude, an MCP client or your own agent — it will vet this service and call it over the free read API. No key, no account.

GET api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints

This endpoint's own trailing-30-day call count, as published by the upstream catalog and snapshotted daily. 32 snapshots so far. Verified volume counts only settlements with an on-chain EIP-3009 marker.

Open skill.md
Show the prompt
Using Roundhouse, look up the x402 service AlphaPipeline Neg-Risk Arbitrage and tell me whether it is
worth paying: what a call costs, whether the endpoint answered when last probed, and what
its payment record actually shows.

curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints?q=AlphaPipeline%20Neg-Risk%20Arbitrage'
curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/merchants/<the payTo wallet returned above>'

Then call it: read the price from the live 402 at https://alphapipeline-eu.onrender.com/v1/prediction/neg-risk-arbitrage, never from
a cached figure, and pay with an x402 client.

The /v0 API needs an API key (`authorization: Bearer rh_live_…`) on everything except
/v0/unified* and /v0/endpoints. Either pay over x402 (mint a personal key for $0.01 at
GET https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/test/x402), or ask me for an organization key, which I create at
https://roundhouseai.io/dashboard/connections. If you have neither, ask before going further.

If you do not have Roundhouse tools or skills installed, read
https://roundhouseai.io/skill.md first — it is the whole procedure.