Agent Souk
Prop-firm challenge pass probability and risk statistics from daily returns (block-bootstrap Monte Carlo, no LLM)
InferenceLiveeip155:8453Exactvia cdp
TradingBacktestMonte-carloProp-firmRisk
Calls · 30d
1
This endpoint's own trailing-30-day call count, as published by the upstream catalog and snapshotted daily. 9 snapshots so far.
$1.78
Verified settled volume
69 settlements proven x402 by their on-chain EIP-3009 marker.
$0.010
Listed price
As published in the catalog. Always read the live 402 before paying.
1
Calls · 30d
Upstream's own call count for this endpoint, not ours.
1
Unique payers · 30d
Last called 2026-09-16 15:32Z
—
Upstream on-chain volume
Reported by the source catalog.
Paid to
0xA0a2494006B72109137630bC026434a809731c07The wallet the 402 directs payment to. Its whole payment record — every payer, every chain — is on the merchant page.
Asset 0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913
Provider
The payTo wallet does not resolve to a registered ERC-8004 agent. That is not a verdict on the service — most of the catalog is unregistered.
Accepts
The payment requirements as published to the catalog. Read the live 402 before paying — a price here is a claim, not a quote.
0.01USDC≈ $0.01 USD
on Base · exact scheme
Pay 0.01 USDC on Base to 0xA0a2…31c07. The signed payment is good for 15 minutes.
- Paid to
- 0xA0a2…31c07
- USD Coin contract
- 0x8335…02913
- Payment window
- 15 minutes
- As published
- 10000 smallest units
The catalog’s raw entry
[
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0xA0a2494006B72109137630bC026434a809731c07",
"amount": "10000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 900
}
]Extensions
{
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"body": {
"seed": 0,
"scale": 3,
"target": 0.1,
"max_days": 42,
"max_loss": 0.1,
"daily_loss": 0.05,
"simulations": 10000,
"block_length": 5,
"daily_returns": [
0.0042,
-0.0018,
0.0031,
0.0007,
-0.0125,
0.0058,
0.0021,
-0.0033,
0.0089,
-0.0006,
0.0014,
0.0037,
-0.0071,
0.0052,
0.0009,
-0.0022,
0.0066,
0.0018,
-0.0154,
0.0047,
0.0029,
-0.0011,
0.0073,
0.0003,
-0.0041,
0.0038,
0.0016,
-0.0088,
0.0061,
0.0024,
-0.0019,
0.0045,
0.0012,
-0.0233,
0.0079,
0.0033,
-0.0008,
0.0056,
0.0021,
-0.0047
]
},
"type": "http",
"method": "POST",
"bodyType": "json"
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"stats": {
"days": 40,
"sharpe": 0.651781,
"var_99": 0.060657,
"cvar_95": 0.05805,
"sortino": 0.784758,
"best_day": 0.0267,
"skewness": -1.69243,
"std_daily": 0.01918,
"worst_day": -0.0699,
"mean_daily": 0.0007875,
"max_drawdown": 0.0699,
"autocorr_lag1": -0.331302,
"excess_kurtosis": 3.34271,
"annualized_return": 0.19845,
"cumulative_return": 0.0315,
"positive_days_ratio": 0.65,
"p_value_mean_gt_zero": 0.368816,
"annualized_volatility": 0.304474
},
"method": "Scaled returns added, not compounded. Stationary block bootstrap (Politis & Romano 1994): a simulated day continues the previous historical day with probability 1 - 1/block_length, else restarts at a random day; wrap-around; block_length 1 = i.i.d. Pass = cumulative return reaches target; bust = cumulative at or below -max_loss, or a day at or below -daily_loss (daily_loss > 0; both on one day count as daily_loss); else undecided at max_days. Population std, risk-free rate 0, linear quantiles, p-value (k + 1) / (B + 1). Six significant digits; standard_error is the sampling error. Deterministic per seed.",
"caveats": [
"Statistics of the numbers you sent, not a forecast: a bootstrap assumes the sent days are representative and cannot see regimes outside the sample.",
"Not investment advice, no recommendation of any instrument, strategy or account; costs and slippage are whatever your returns already contain."
],
"challenge": {
"seed": 0,
"bust_by": {
"max_loss": 0.0036,
"daily_loss": 0.6321
},
"simulations": 10000,
"block_length": 5,
"days_to_target": {
"p25": 21,
"p75": 35,
"median": 28
},
"standard_error": {
"bust_probability": 0.00481233,
"pass_probability": 0.00395197
},
"terminal_return": {
"p5": -0.078,
"p25": -0.0525,
"p50": -0.0168,
"p75": 0.0615,
"p95": 0.108
},
"bust_probability": 0.6357,
"pass_probability": 0.1937,
"path_max_drawdown": {
"p50": 0.0699,
"p95": 0.1038
},
"undecided_probability": 0.1706
},
"input_summary": {
"days": 40,
"seed": 0,
"scale": 3,
"target": 0.1,
"max_days": 42,
"max_loss": 0.1,
"daily_loss": 0.05,
"simulations": 10000,
"block_length": 5,
"trading_days_per_year": 252
}
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method",
"bodyType",
"body"
],
"properties": {
"body": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"daily_returns"
],
"properties": {
"seed": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 0,
"maximum": 4294967295,
"minimum": 0
},
"scale": {
"type": "number",
"default": 1,
"maximum": 100,
"minimum": 0.001,
"description": "Multiplies every return (position size)"
},
"target": {
"type": "number",
"default": 0.1,
"maximum": 5,
"minimum": 0.0001,
"description": "Profit target, fraction of the starting balance"
},
"max_days": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 42,
"maximum": 365,
"minimum": 1,
"description": "Trading days the challenge may take"
},
"max_loss": {
"type": "number",
"default": 0.1,
"maximum": 1,
"minimum": 0.0001,
"description": "Overall loss limit (cumulative at or below -max_loss busts)"
},
"daily_loss": {
"type": "number",
"default": 0.05,
"maximum": 1,
"minimum": 0,
"description": "Single-day loss limit (a day at or below -daily_loss busts); 0 = off"
},
"simulations": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 10000,
"maximum": 50000,
"minimum": 100
},
"block_length": {
"type": "number",
"default": 5,
"maximum": 250,
"minimum": 1,
"description": "Mean block length; 1 = i.i.d.; may exceed the number of days"
},
"daily_returns": {
"type": "array",
"items": {
"type": "number",
"maximum": 1,
"minimum": -1
},
"maxItems": 5000,
"minItems": 20,
"description": "Daily results as fractions of the starting balance, in order (0.004 = +0.4 %)"
},
"trading_days_per_year": {
"type": "integer",
"default": 252,
"maximum": 366,
"minimum": 1
}
}
},
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"POST"
],
"type": "string"
},
"bodyType": {
"enum": [
"json"
],
"type": "string"
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"stats": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"days": {
"type": "integer"
},
"sharpe": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "risk-free rate 0; null without variance"
},
"var_99": {
"type": "number",
"description": "loss at the 1 % quantile of a day; 0 when it is a gain"
},
"cvar_95": {
"type": "number",
"description": "mean loss of the worst 5 % of days; 0 when they are gains"
},
"sortino": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "null without a losing day"
},
"best_day": {
"type": "number"
},
"skewness": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
]
},
"std_daily": {
"type": "number",
"description": "population standard deviation"
},
"worst_day": {
"type": "number"
},
"mean_daily": {
"type": "number"
},
"max_drawdown": {
"type": "number",
"description": "peak-to-trough of the added returns"
},
"autocorr_lag1": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
]
},
"excess_kurtosis": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
]
},
"annualized_return": {
"type": "number",
"description": "mean_daily × trading_days_per_year"
},
"cumulative_return": {
"type": "number"
},
"positive_days_ratio": {
"type": "number"
},
"p_value_mean_gt_zero": {
"type": "number",
"description": "(k + 1) / (B + 1), B = 2,000 i.i.d. resamples, k means at or below zero"
},
"annualized_volatility": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"description": "of the scaled returns; every figure rounded to six significant digits"
},
"method": {
"type": "string"
},
"caveats": {
"type": "array",
"items": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"challenge": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"seed": {
"type": "integer"
},
"bust_by": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"max_loss": {
"type": "number"
},
"daily_loss": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"description": "a day breaking both rules counts under daily_loss"
},
"simulations": {
"type": "integer"
},
"block_length": {
"type": "number"
},
"days_to_target": {
"type": [
"object",
"null"
],
"properties": {
"p25": {
"type": "number"
},
"p75": {
"type": "number"
},
"median": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"description": "trading days until the target over the passing paths; null when none passed"
},
"standard_error": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"bust_probability": {
"type": "number"
},
"pass_probability": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"description": "sampling error sqrt(p (1 - p) / simulations)"
},
"terminal_return": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"p5": {
"type": "number"
},
"p25": {
"type": "number"
},
"p50": {
"type": "number"
},
"p75": {
"type": "number"
},
"p95": {
"type": "number"
}
},
"description": "cumulative return where each path stopped"
},
"bust_probability": {
"type": "number"
},
"pass_probability": {
"type": "number"
},
"path_max_drawdown": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"p50": {
"type": "number"
},
"p95": {
"type": "number"
}
}
},
"undecided_probability": {
"type": "number",
"description": "neither target nor a rule within max_days"
}
}
},
"input_summary": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"days": {
"type": "integer"
},
"seed": {
"type": "integer"
},
"scale": {
"type": "number"
},
"target": {
"type": "number"
},
"max_days": {
"type": "integer"
},
"max_loss": {
"type": "number"
},
"daily_loss": {
"type": "number"
},
"simulations": {
"type": "integer"
},
"block_length": {
"type": "number"
},
"trading_days_per_year": {
"type": "integer"
}
}
}
}
}
}
}
}
}
}
}Provenance
- Seen in the source catalog
- 2026-09-16 15:32Z
- Last indexed by Roundhouse
- 2026-09-25 17:30Z
- Last enriched (probe, favicon, geo)
- 2026-09-16 19:45Z
- x402 version
- 2
- Max timeout
- 900s
- Liveness probe
- HTTP 404
Hand this page to an agent
Copy the prompt and paste it into Claude, an MCP client or your own agent — it will vet this service and call it over the free read API. No key, no account.
GET api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints
This endpoint's own trailing-30-day call count, as published by the upstream catalog and snapshotted daily. 9 snapshots so far. Verified volume counts only settlements with an on-chain EIP-3009 marker.
Show the promptHide the prompt
Using Roundhouse, look up the x402 service Agent Souk and tell me whether it is worth paying: what a call costs, whether the endpoint answered when last probed, and what its payment record actually shows. curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints?q=Agent%20Souk' curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/merchants/<the payTo wallet returned above>' Then call it: read the price from the live 402 at https://api.agentsouk.dev/v1/x402/lst_01M2ND5C6502HRV8VA9PMG40W6, never from a cached figure, and pay with an x402 client. The /v0 API needs an API key (`authorization: Bearer rh_live_…`) on everything except /v0/unified* and /v0/endpoints. Mint a personal key for $0.01 at GET https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/test/x402, or use an organization key from https://roundhouseai.io/dashboard/team. If you do not have Roundhouse tools or skills installed, read https://roundhouseai.io/skill.md first — it is the whole procedure.