Roundhouse

HodlOdds

The chance that a pump.fun-graduated Solana memecoin falls 90% or more within the next 60 minutes. Pay per answer over x402. Odds, not guarantees.

DataLiveeip155:8453Exactvia cdp
https://api.hodlodds.com/v1/risk/:mint/last
SolanaBaseAnalyticsCrash-risk
Calls · 30d
44
This endpoint's own trailing-30-day call count, as published by the upstream catalog and snapshotted daily. 8 snapshots so far.
$0.10
Verified settled volume
7 settlements proven x402 by their on-chain EIP-3009 marker.
$0.0020
Listed price
As published in the catalog. Always read the live 402 before paying.
44
Calls · 30d
Upstream's own call count for this endpoint, not ours.
2
Unique payers · 30d
Last called 2026-10-20 16:47Z
—
Upstream on-chain volume
Reported by the source catalog.
Paid to
0x750516764ee7459d00393e4f8C8Bd4886Ed25FD5

The wallet the 402 directs payment to. Its whole payment record — every payer, every chain — is on the merchant page.

Asset 0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913

Provider

The payTo wallet does not resolve to a registered ERC-8004 agent. That is not a verdict on the service — most of the catalog is unregistered.

Accepts

The payment requirements as published to the catalog. Read the live 402 before paying — a price here is a claim, not a quote.

2000units
on solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp · exact scheme

That figure is in the token’s smallest units. Roundhouse does not hold this contract’s decimals, so it is shown as published rather than converted.

Paid to
HpmX6j…EzCjp
Token contract
EPjFWd…TDt1v
Payment window
1 minute
0.002USDC≈ $0.002 USD
on Base · exact scheme

Pay 0.002 USDC on Base to 0x7505…25FD5. The signed payment is good for 1 minute.

Paid to
0x7505…25FD5
USD Coin contract
0x8335…02913
Payment window
1 minute
As published
2000 smallest units
The catalog’s raw entry
[
  {
    "asset": "EPjFWdd5AufqSSqeM2qN1xzybapC8G4wEGGkZwyTDt1v",
    "extra": {
      "feePayer": "BENrLoUbndxoNMUS5JXApGMtNykLjFXXixMtpDwDR9SP",
      "paymentFlow": "authorization"
    },
    "payTo": "HpmX6jRpRahpsac32kGNVV7JnPmVLNuUtwvREU5EzCjp",
    "amount": "2000",
    "scheme": "exact",
    "network": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
    "maxTimeoutSeconds": 60
  },
  {
    "asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
    "extra": {
      "name": "USD Coin",
      "version": "2",
      "paymentFlow": "authorization"
    },
    "payTo": "0x750516764ee7459d00393e4f8C8Bd4886Ed25FD5",
    "amount": "2000",
    "scheme": "exact",
    "network": "eip155:8453",
    "maxTimeoutSeconds": 60
  }
]

Extensions

{
  "bazaar": {
    "info": {
      "input": {
        "type": "http",
        "method": "GET",
        "pathParams": {
          "mint": "68amTKNHXLk5obsWzyRhrXDvzNRcbK3QymoroexWpump"
        }
      },
      "output": {
        "type": "json",
        "example": {
          "row": {
            "band": {
              "n": 77515,
              "hi": 0.05,
              "lo": 0.02,
              "basis": "Historical weekly BF refits, Sep 1–Oct 14 excluding Sep 20; already-seen evidence, not this frozen fit.",
              "historical_observed": 0.038
            },
            "mint": "11111111111111111111111111111111pump",
            "name": "Illustrative token",
            "asset": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp/token:11111111111111111111111111111111pump",
            "chain": "solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp",
            "dd_60": 0.96,
            "ret_5": -0.014,
            "ret_60": 0.023,
            "symbol": "EXAMPLE",
            "age_min": 240,
            "summary": "Last known (10 min old): 3.1% chance of a 90%+ price drop within 60 minutes (about 3.1 in 100). Low odds are not a safety signal.",
            "platform": "pumpfun",
            "resq_sol": 125.5,
            "trades_5": 32,
            "chain_name": "Solana",
            "confidence": {
              "band": {
                "n": 77515,
                "hi": 0.05,
                "lo": 0.02,
                "obs": 0.038,
                "pred": 0.0337,
                "positives": 2945.5699999999997
              },
              "basis": "Historical validation of weekly BF refits, September 1 through October 14, 2026 excluding September 20; already-seen data, not measured calibration of the frozen serving fit.",
              "level": "medium",
              "reasons": [
                "stale data: 10 min old"
              ],
              "direction": null,
              "rule_version": "hodlodds.confidence.v1"
            },
            "p_crash_60m": 0.031,
            "market_status": "available"
          },
          "age_s": 600,
          "as_of": 1792249200,
          "model": {
            "id": "example-bf-frozen",
            "hashes": {
              "meta": "bbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbbb",
              "model": "aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa"
            }
          },
          "stale": true,
          "schema": "hodlodds.answer.v1",
          "covered": true,
          "coverage": {
            "active": 660,
            "scored": 650,
            "universe": "Illustrative active SOL-quoted pump.fun graduates",
            "abstained": 10,
            "experimental_quotes": [
              "USDC",
              "PUMP"
            ],
            "experimental_scored": 75,
            "experimental_abstained": 4
          },
          "freshness": "stale",
          "issued_at": 1792249230,
          "definition": "A crash is a completed 1-minute close in SOL at least 90% below the reference price within 60 minutes.",
          "expires_at": 1792249350,
          "horizon_end": 1792252800,
          "horizon_remaining_s": 2970
        }
      }
    },
    "schema": {
      "type": "object",
      "$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
      "required": [
        "input"
      ],
      "properties": {
        "input": {
          "type": "object",
          "required": [
            "type",
            "method"
          ],
          "properties": {
            "type": {
              "type": "string",
              "const": "http"
            },
            "method": {
              "enum": [
                "GET",
                "HEAD",
                "DELETE"
              ],
              "type": "string"
            },
            "pathParams": {
              "type": "object",
              "required": [
                "mint"
              ],
              "properties": {
                "mint": {
                  "type": "string",
                  "pattern": "^[1-9A-HJ-NP-Za-km-z]{32,44}$"
                }
              }
            },
            "queryParams": {
              "type": "object",
              "properties": {
                "chain": {
                  "type": "array",
                  "items": {
                    "type": "string"
                  },
                  "maxItems": 10,
                  "minItems": 1,
                  "uniqueItems": true
                },
                "platform": {
                  "type": "array",
                  "items": {
                    "type": "string"
                  },
                  "maxItems": 10,
                  "minItems": 1,
                  "uniqueItems": true
                }
              },
              "additionalProperties": false
            }
          },
          "additionalProperties": false
        },
        "output": {
          "type": "object",
          "required": [
            "type"
          ],
          "properties": {
            "type": {
              "type": "string"
            },
            "example": {
              "type": "object"
            }
          }
        }
      }
    },
    "routeTemplate": "/v1/risk/:mint/last"
  }
}

Provenance

Seen in the source catalog
2026-10-20 16:47Z
Last indexed by Roundhouse
2026-10-26 12:20Z
Last enriched (probe, favicon, geo)
2026-10-20 09:45Z
x402 version
2
Max timeout
60s
Liveness probe
HTTP 404
Report

Hand this page to an agent

Copy the prompt and paste it into Claude, an MCP client or your own agent — it will vet this service and call it over the free read API. No key, no account.

GET api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints

This endpoint's own trailing-30-day call count, as published by the upstream catalog and snapshotted daily. 8 snapshots so far. Verified volume counts only settlements with an on-chain EIP-3009 marker.

Open skill.md
Show the prompt
Using Roundhouse, look up the x402 service HodlOdds and tell me whether it is
worth paying: what a call costs, whether the endpoint answered when last probed, and what
its payment record actually shows.

curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints?q=HodlOdds'
curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/merchants/<the payTo wallet returned above>'

Then call it: read the price from the live 402 at https://api.hodlodds.com/v1/risk/:mint/last, never from
a cached figure, and pay with an x402 client.

The /v0 API needs an API key (`authorization: Bearer rh_live_…`) on everything except
/v0/unified* and /v0/endpoints. Either pay over x402 (mint a personal key for $0.01 at
GET https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/test/x402), or ask me for an organization key, which I create at
https://roundhouseai.io/dashboard/connections. If you have neither, ask before going further.

If you do not have Roundhouse tools or skills installed, read
https://roundhouseai.io/skill.md first — it is the whole procedure.