polls.karbach.digital
French presidential election 2027, first round: poll average, 95 percent band and runoff chance per candidate, most likely runoff pairs, recent campaign events. Unavailable during the legal blackout (Saturday 00:00 until 20:00 on election day, Paris time: 17 to 18 Apr and 1 to 2 May 2027). Use when asked who leads the 2027 French presidential election or who reaches the runoff. Source-attributed. Refused (503, not charged) if data is older than 30 hours.
The wallet the 402 directs payment to. Its whole payment record — every payer, every chain — is on the merchant page.
Asset 0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913
The payTo wallet does not resolve to a registered ERC-8004 agent. That is not a verdict on the service — most of the catalog is unregistered.
Live 402 challenge
Captured by the enrichment pass, not read just now. Prices can change — always read the 402 the endpoint answers with.
{
"docs": "https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/",
"x402": "https://x402.org",
"asset": "USDC",
"error": "payment_required",
"network": "Base",
"project": "Ein Projekt von Karbach.Digital (https://karbach.digital)",
"price_usd": 0.02,
"free_trial": "Try before you pay: put /try in front of any paid path (for example https://api.polls.karbach.digital/try/v1/federal/trend). Same answer, no payment, 3 calls per day per IP address.",
"how_to_pay": "This endpoint is paid per call via x402. Read the PAYMENT-REQUIRED header, pay with an x402 client (for example the x402 Python or TypeScript SDK) and repeat the request.",
"description": "French presidential election 2027, first round: poll average, 95 percent band and runoff chance per candidate, most likely runoff pairs, recent campaign events. Unavailable during the legal blackout (Saturday 00:00 until 20:00 on election day, Paris time: 17 to 18 Apr and 1 to 2 May 2027)."
}Accepts
The payment requirements as published to the catalog. Read the live 402 before paying — a price here is a claim, not a quote.
Pay 0.02 USDC on Base to 0x6d84…57D61. The signed payment is good for 5 minutes.
- Paid to
- 0x6d84…57D61
- USD Coin contract
- 0x8335…02913
- Payment window
- 5 minutes
- As published
- 20000 smallest units
The catalog’s raw entry
[
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2"
},
"payTo": "0x6d8444CaEd95D9155785Da10aC00247948957D61",
"amount": "20000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 300
}
]Extensions
{
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET"
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"data": {
"events": [
{
"date": "0000-00-00",
"text": "Bruno Retailleau est désigné candidat des Républicains (LR) par les adhérents du parti"
},
{
"date": "0000-00-00",
"text": "Fabien Roussel, secrétaire général du Parti communiste français (PCF), officialise sa candidature"
}
],
"election": "Présidentielle 2027",
"first_round": "2027-04-18",
"second_round": "2027-05-02",
"reference_field": [
"Arthaud",
"Attal"
],
"days_to_first_round": 0,
"first_round_forecast": [
{
"ci95": [
0,
0
],
"name": "Arthaud",
"party": "LO",
"median": 0,
"p_first": 0,
"p_runoff": 0,
"party_name": "Lutte ouvrière",
"poll_average": 0
},
{
"ci95": [
0,
0
],
"name": "Attal",
"party": "RE",
"median": 0,
"p_first": 0,
"p_runoff": 0,
"party_name": "Renaissance",
"poll_average": 0
}
],
"runoff_pairs_probability": {
"Candidate A vs Candidate B": 0
}
},
"docs": "https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/",
"model": {
"method": "weighted poll average of the last 45 days (half-life 10 days), scenario closest to the most polled field, Monte Carlo with errors measured in 2017 and 2022",
"polls_used": 0
},
"notice": "Scenario analysis based on published opinion polls. Not a prediction and not a voting recommendation. Coalition figures count simulated seat majorities (see ...",
"source": {
"polls": "French polling institutes; every poll is filed with the Commission des sondages (link per poll)",
"license": "CC BY-SA 4.0 (share alike, because the poll compilation is CC BY-SA)",
"blackout": "French law (Loi 77-808, art. 11, as amended 2016) bans publishing polls from the Saturday before each round, 00:00, until polls close on election day, 20:00 ...",
"processing": "polls.karbach.digital (Max Karbach)",
"calibration": "poll average vs official results 2017 and 2022 at the same distance to election day",
"compilation": "fr.wikipedia.org, Liste de sondages sur l'élection présidentielle française de 2027 (CC BY-SA 4.0)",
"polls_license": "ODbL 1.0",
"polls_license_url": "https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/"
},
"project": "Ein Projekt von Karbach.Digital (https://karbach.digital)",
"updated_at": "0000-00-00T00:00:00",
"uncertainty": "95 percent band per candidate; error sd = 1.787 x sqrt(share), taken from the 2017 and 2022 poll errors at this distance to election day"
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET",
"HEAD",
"DELETE"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string"
},
"example": {
"type": "object"
}
}
}
}
}
}
}Provenance
- Seen in the source catalog
- 2026-10-21 22:08Z
- Last indexed by Roundhouse
- 2026-10-26 17:20Z
- Last enriched (probe, favicon, geo)
- 2026-10-21 23:15Z
- x402 version
- 2
- Max timeout
- 300s
- Liveness probe
- HTTP 402
Hand this page to an agent
Copy the prompt and paste it into Claude, an MCP client or your own agent — it will vet this service and call it over the free read API. No key, no account.
GET api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints
This endpoint's own trailing-30-day call count, as published by the upstream catalog and snapshotted daily. 7 snapshots so far. Verified volume counts only settlements with an on-chain EIP-3009 marker.
Show the promptHide the prompt
Using Roundhouse, look up the x402 service polls.karbach.digital and tell me whether it is worth paying: what a call costs, whether the endpoint answered when last probed, and what its payment record actually shows. curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/endpoints?q=polls.karbach.digital' curl -s 'https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/merchants/<the payTo wallet returned above>' Then call it: read the price from the live 402 at https://api.polls.karbach.digital/v1/france/presidential-2027, never from a cached figure, and pay with an x402 client. The /v0 API needs an API key (`authorization: Bearer rh_live_…`) on everything except /v0/unified* and /v0/endpoints. Either pay over x402 (mint a personal key for $0.01 at GET https://api.roundhouseai.io/v0/test/x402), or ask me for an organization key, which I create at https://roundhouseai.io/dashboard/connections. If you have neither, ask before going further. If you do not have Roundhouse tools or skills installed, read https://roundhouseai.io/skill.md first — it is the whole procedure.