Saylor Innovations Data Desk
Bayes calculator for a diagnostic test - positive and negative predictive value, likelihood ratios and a confusion matrix from prevalence, sensitivity and specificity
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Asset 0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913
The payTo wallet does not resolve to a registered ERC-8004 agent. That is not a verdict on the service — most of the catalog is unregistered.
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The payment requirements as published to the catalog. Read the live 402 before paying — a price here is a claim, not a quote.
Pay 0.01 USDC on Base to 0xA2A8…fc8aa. The signed payment is good for 2 minutes.
- Paid to
- 0xA2A8…fc8aa
- USD Coin contract
- 0x8335…02913
- Payment window
- 2 minutes
- As published
- 10000 smallest units
The catalog’s raw entry
[
{
"asset": "0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913",
"extra": {
"memo": "saylor:datadesk:bayes-diagnostic",
"name": "USD Coin",
"version": "2",
"facilitatorOnly": true,
"assetTransferMethod": "eip3009"
},
"payTo": "0xA2A8dF0f7CaaBEa4e120a2568118f141569fc8aa",
"amount": "10000",
"scheme": "exact",
"network": "eip155:8453",
"maxTimeoutSeconds": 120
}
]Extensions
{
"bazaar": {
"info": {
"input": {
"type": "http",
"method": "GET",
"queryParams": {
"prevalence_percent": "1",
"sensitivity_percent": "95",
"specificity_percent": "90"
}
},
"output": {
"type": "json",
"example": {
"note": "Bayes theorem with a single test and independent errors; real tests vary by population and are not medical advice.",
"inputs": {
"population": 100000,
"prevalence_percent": 1,
"sensitivity_percent": 95,
"specificity_percent": 90
},
"source": "Bayes theorem applied to prevalence, sensitivity and specificity",
"plain_language": "Of every 100 people who test positive, about 9 actually have the condition when prevalence is 1%.",
"confusion_matrix": {
"true_negatives": 89100,
"true_positives": 950,
"false_negatives": 50,
"false_positives": 9900
},
"false_discovery_percent": 91.244,
"negative_likelihood_ratio": 0.055556,
"positive_likelihood_ratio": 9.5,
"negative_predictive_value_percent": 99.944,
"positive_predictive_value_percent": 8.756,
"probability_of_positive_test_percent": 10.85,
"probability_disease_given_negative_percent": 0.0561
}
}
},
"schema": {
"type": "object",
"$schema": "https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema",
"required": [
"input"
],
"properties": {
"input": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"prevalence_percent",
"sensitivity_percent",
"specificity_percent"
],
"properties": {
"prevalence_percent": {
"type": "string",
"description": "How common the condition is, percent"
},
"sensitivity_percent": {
"type": "string",
"description": "True positive rate, percent"
},
"specificity_percent": {
"type": "string",
"description": "True negative rate, percent"
}
}
}
},
"additionalProperties": false
},
"output": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "json"
},
"example": {
"type": "object",
"required": [
"inputs",
"positive_predictive_value_percent"
],
"properties": {
"note": {
"type": "string",
"description": "Caveat or context for reading the result"
},
"inputs": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"population": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "Population size used for the confusion matrix"
},
"prevalence_percent": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "Prevalence, as a percentage"
},
"sensitivity_percent": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "Sensitivity, as a percentage"
},
"specificity_percent": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "Specificity, as a percentage"
}
},
"description": "Inputs after validation, as percentages and the population size"
},
"source": {
"type": "string",
"description": "Data source the values come from"
},
"plain_language": {
"type": [
"string",
"null"
],
"description": "Plain language"
},
"confusion_matrix": {
"type": "object",
"description": "Confusion matrix"
},
"false_discovery_percent": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "False discovery, as a percentage"
},
"negative_likelihood_ratio": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "Negative likelihood ratio"
},
"positive_likelihood_ratio": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "Positive likelihood ratio"
},
"negative_predictive_value_percent": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "Negative predictive value, as a percentage"
},
"positive_predictive_value_percent": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "Positive predictive value, as a percentage"
},
"probability_of_positive_test_percent": {
"type": "number",
"description": "Probability of positive test, as a percentage"
},
"probability_disease_given_negative_percent": {
"type": [
"number",
"null"
],
"description": "Probability disease given negative, as a percentage"
}
}
}
}
}
}
}
}
}Provenance
- Seen in the source catalog
- 2026-10-26 02:49Z
- Last indexed by Roundhouse
- 2026-10-26 20:15Z
- Last enriched (probe, favicon, geo)
- —
- x402 version
- 2
- Max timeout
- 120s
- Liveness probe
- Not probed
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